Championship | Wednesday, 4 November 2026 | 19:45 GMT

Recent Form

Wrexham

In their last four home games, Wrexham's record stands at two wins, one draw, and one loss. They scored eight goals and conceded five. The results were as follows: a 4-1 win over Preston, a 1-2 loss to West Brom, a 2-1 win against Southampton, and a 1-1 draw with Burnley. Over their last ten games across all venues, they have three wins, three draws, and four losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 15.

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough's away form over their last five games shows three wins and two draws. They scored 12 goals and conceded six. The results were: a 5-1 win at Bolton, a 3-2 win at Stoke City, a 2-2 draw at Birmingham, a 1-0 win at QPR, and a 1-1 draw at Burnley. In their last ten games across all venues, they have six wins, four draws, and no losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 13.

What the Numbers Say

The model rates Middlesbrough's away win at 61% likelihood, making it the standout accumulator leg for today's card. The primary model's win probabilities are 20.2% for Wrexham (home), 18.5% for a draw, and 60.7% for Middlesbrough (away). A second independent model also agrees on the direction, reinforcing Middlesbrough as the most probable outcome.

When it comes to value, the market price for Middlesbrough at 1.91 offers a solid edge. The model's fair odds stand at 1.65, giving a 16% value edge. This five-star value rating comes from the combination of likelihood and price. Middlesbrough's attacking threat is underlined by their sG (signal goals) of 2.43 compared to Wrexham's 1.32. The probabilities for Both Teams to Score (63%) and Over 2.5 goals (63%) suggest an open game, further supporting the away win. Middlesbrough's season-level stats show a strong goal rate and defensive solidity, aligning with the model's view. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision on how to use them is yours.

Player Intelligence

Middlesbrough boasts a player with a shots per 90 figure of 4.257, significantly higher than Wrexham's top player at 3.281. On the tackling front, Middlesbrough again leads with a top per 90 value of 3.625, compared to Wrexham's 3.488. For the full player-level breakdown and more data points, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.