Waterford vs Dundalk - Premier Division Preview

Premier Division | Monday, 4 May 2026 | 16:00 GMT

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Waterford

In their last four home games, Waterford have played four times, winning none, drawing two, and losing two. They've scored two goals and conceded five. Last 10 games, they've won none, drawn three, and lost seven, scoring eight goals while conceding 22.

Dundalk

In their last five away games, Dundalk have played five times, winning one, drawing two, and losing two. They've scored six goals and conceded 11. Across their last 10 games, they've won five, drawn two, and lost three, scoring 17 goals while conceding 14.

Why BetSignals Rates This Game

Our primary model breaks down the probabilities for this match as follows: home win at 22.6%, draw at 22.8%, and away win at 51.5%. Encouragingly, a second model independently agrees on the direction, favouring the away side. This cross-model consensus earns the fixture a 3* signal rating. We're providing these insights so you can make your own informed decision, not as a tip or prediction.

Expected goals (sG) figures show Dundalk with a significant attacking threat over Waterford, with 2.08 sG compared to Waterford's 0.97 sG. This suggests Dundalk might create more clear-cut chances. Both teams scoring (BTTS) is likely, with a probability of 51.8%. Over 2.5 goals is also probable, with a chance of 48.8%. From the data, Dundalk's higher shot volume and better goal rate might explain why the model leans towards an away win.