Serie A | Wednesday, 28 October 2026 | 17:30 GMT

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Venezia

At home, Venezia has a record of two wins, no draws, and three losses in their last five games. They've scored five goals and conceded eight. Their results were a 1-0 win against Napoli, a 0-2 loss to Lazio, a 2-4 loss to Fiorentina, a 0-2 loss to Lecce, and a 2-0 win over Palermo. Over their last 10 games overall, they have two wins, one draw, and seven losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 19.

Inter

Away from home, Inter has a record of two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four games. They've scored seven goals and conceded five. Their results were a 3-1 win over Bologna, a 2-2 draw with AS Roma, a 1-2 loss to Real Madrid, and a 1-0 win against Cagliari. Over their last 10 games overall, they have seven wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 15.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates Inter's away win at 62% likelihood, making it the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees a Venezia home win at 18.9%, a draw at 18.3%, and an Inter away win at 62%. A second independent model also agrees on the away direction. This is why Inter away leads the card: it's the most probable result by a clear margin.

However, the price on offer does not carry a value edge. The market odds for Inter away are 1.33, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.61. This gives a one-star value rating, meaning the price is fair or shorter than the model's fair value. Inter is the likely winner, but there is no value in the price. The sG (signal goals) for Inter is 2.44, compared to Venezia's 1.26, reflecting Inter's stronger attacking threat. The probability of both teams scoring is 58%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 57%, indicating an open game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision on how to use them is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player metric across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. Inter has nine players averaging over 1.5 shots per 90, with the top player at 5.719. Venezia has three players above this threshold, with their top player at 3.462. The second most notable category is shots on target per 90. Inter has five players averaging over 1.0 shots on target per 90, with the top player at 3.568. Venezia has four players above this threshold, with their top player at 1.598. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals.