Where the model has them
Venezia are projected to finish 12th in the 2026-27 Serie A season, with an expected finishing position of 13.0. This projection comes from a blend of their attacking and defensive strengths, as well as their Elo ratings. Their attack strength multiplier sits at 0.98, which means they're just below the league average. Their defence, on the other hand, is slightly above average with a multiplier of 1.22. Their attacking Elo is 1616, whilst their defending Elo is 1632, reflecting their promotion from a lower division.
In attack
Venezia's attack is just below the league average, as indicated by their 0.98 attack strength multiplier. The key attacking players to watch are Andrea Adorante, who scored 17 goals last season, and John Yeboah, who provided 9 assists. Gianluca Busio leads in shot volume with 51 shots across 36 appearances. The top scorers in the squad are Adorante with 17 goals and 1 assist, Yeboah with 10 goals and 9 assists, and the newly arrived Akor Adams, who scored 9 goals last season. Despite these players, the attack remains slightly below average.
In defence
Defensively, Venezia are rated as slightly above average, though still leakier than the top-tier sides, as shown by their 1.22 defence multiplier. The defensive-actions leaders include Emil Bohinen with 4.85 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90 minutes, Armel Bella-Kotchap with 4.52, and Þórir Jóhann Helgason with 4.34. Redouane Halhal, who joined this summer, won 45 tackles last season. Whilst these numbers look solid, the defence remains a soft spot compared to the top sides in the league.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw some key changes that nudged the model's numbers. The arrival of Akor Adams, who scored 9 goals last season, shifted the attack multiplier from 1.02 to 0.98. Defensively, the addition of Redouane Halhal, who had 107 defensive actions last season, moved the defence multiplier from 1.2 to 1.22. Notable departures include Issa Doumbia, who scored 8 goals last season, and Michael Svoboda in defence. These changes have had a marginal impact on the overall projection.
Weaknesses and risks
The model flags two main weaknesses for Venezia this season. First, their defence is rated as leakier than average, which could see them concede more goals than their rivals. Second, as a newly promoted side, much of their squad is unproven at this level, adding an element of uncertainty to their performance. These factors combined present the main risks to their projected 12th-place finish.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Andrea Adorante | 17 | 0.53 | 44% |
| Assists | John Yeboah | 9 | 0.27 | 27% |
| Shots | Gianluca Busio | 51 | 1.42 | 89% |
| Tackles won | Redouane Halhal | 45 | 1.41 | 81% |
| Fouls drawn | Kike Pérez | 54 | 1.59 | 88% |
| Fouls committed | Kike Pérez | 63 | 1.85 | 91% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Emil Bohinen | 4.85 | 11 |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | 4.52 | 19 |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | 4.34 | 8 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Akor Adams (9g), out Issa Doumbia (8g)
- Defence: in Redouane Halhal (107 def actions), out Michael Svoboda
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._