UEFA Champions League | Tuesday, 4 August 2026 | 18:00 GMT

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Union St. Gilloise

At home, Union St. Gilloise has played five games, winning four and drawing one. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 2, with a total of 85 shots and 30 shots on target. Over their last ten games (home and away), they have six wins, two draws, and two losses, scoring 16 goals and conceding 10.

Bodo/Glimt

Away from home, Bodo/Glimt has played four games, winning three and drawing one. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 3, with 58 shots and 23 shots on target. Over their last ten games (home and away), they have eight wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring 27 goals and conceding 5.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives Bodo/Glimt a 59% chance of winning this match, making them the standout acca leg today. The model sees a 20.8% chance for a home win, 19.8% for a draw, and 59.1% for an away win. A second independent model agrees on the direction, further solidifying Bodo/Glimt's likelihood of victory.

When it comes to value, the market price for Bodo/Glimt is 3.00, but the model's fair odds are 1.69. This gives us a four-star value rating, meaning the market price is significantly longer than it should be. The sG (signal goals) for Bodo/Glimt is 2.23, compared to Union St. Gilloise's 1.23, indicating a stronger attacking threat from the away side. The probability of both teams scoring is 62%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 64%, suggesting an open game. The model's aggregates show Bodo/Glimt has a superior shot volume and defensive record, further backing their likelihood and value.

BetSignals surfaces these numbers, and the decision on how to use them is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player metric across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. Bodo/Glimt has a player with 3.25 shots per 90, compared to Union St. Gilloise's top player at 3.013. The second most striking category is tackles per 90, where Bodo/Glimt's top player has 4.538, significantly higher than Union St. Gilloise's best at 3. For a deeper dive into player-level data, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.