Where the model has them
The model has Union St. Gilloise projected to finish around 2nd in the 2026-27 Jupiler Pro League, with a 33.42% chance of winning the title and a 98.23% chance of finishing in the top four. Relegation is a non-factor at 0.00%. The expected points tally is 70.2. This projection is driven by a potent attack and an ironclad defence. The attack strength multiplier stands at 1.27 (1.00 is the league average, higher means stronger), whilst the defence multiplier is 0.53 (1.00 is the league average, lower means stronger). Their attacking Elo is 1545 and their defensive Elo is 1681.
In attack
Union St. Gilloise's attack is above average, with a strength multiplier of 1.27. Promise David is the key man up top, scoring 11 goals in 30 appearances last season, accounting for 37% of the team's goals. He also had 69 shots in 30 games, showing his high involvement. Besfort Zeneli chipped in with 9 assists in 26 appearances, proving his playmaking ability. The top scorers in the squad are Promise David with 11 goals and 1 assist, Kevin Rodriguez with 10 goals and 3 assists, and Ross Sykes with 6 goals.
In defence
Union St. Gilloise's defence is their standout strength, with a multiplier of 0.53. The defensive-actions leaders are Kamiel Van de Perre with 5.73 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90 minutes, Kevin Mac Allister with 5.43, and Louis Patris with 5.22. Mac Allister also won 135 tackles in 41 appearances, showing his tenacity in breaking up opposition play.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw Besfort Zeneli arrive, boosting both the attack (4 goals last season) and defence (52 defensive actions). Mateo Biondic left, taking 4 goals with him, whilst Christian Burgess departed, leaving a gap at the back. The attack multiplier moved from 1.22 to 1.27, whilst the defence multiplier stayed at 0.53.
Weaknesses and risks
The model sees Union St. Gilloise's lack of a proven high-volume scorer as a key weakness. Promise David's 11 goals last season were the best in the squad, but that's not a reliable foundation for a title challenge. If David or Rodriguez suffer injuries, the goals could dry up quickly. The defence is solid, but the attack's reliance on a small group of players poses a risk to the projection.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Promise David | 11 | 0.37 | 37% |
| Assists | Besfort Zeneli | 9 | 0.35 | 23% |
| Shots | Promise David | 69 | 2.3 | 87% |
| Tackles won | Kevin Mac Allister | 135 | 3.29 | 93% |
| Fouls drawn | Ousseynou Niang | 48 | 1.45 | 73% |
| Fouls committed | Kevin Mac Allister | 61 | 1.49 | 83% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Kamiel Van de Perre | 5.73 | 37 |
| Kevin Mac Allister | 5.43 | 41 |
| Louis Patris | 5.22 | 38 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Besfort Zeneli (4g), out Mateo Biondic (4g)
- Defence: in Besfort Zeneli (52 def actions), out Christian Burgess
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._