Eredivisie | Wednesday, 9 September 2026 | 16:45 GMT
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Twente
At home, Twente has played 4 games with a record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 4. The scorelines were: L 0-1, W 3-1, W 6-0, L 1-2. Overall in their last 10 games, Twente has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 17.
Telstar
Away from home, Telstar has played 4 games with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. The scorelines were: W 2-1, W 2-1, D 1-1, L 1-4. Overall in their last 10 games, Telstar has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 18.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model gives Twente a 70% chance of winning this match, with a 15.7% chance of a draw and a 13.1% chance of a Telstar win. This makes Twente the most probable result and therefore the standout accumulator leg. A second independent model agrees on the home win direction.
However, the price on Twente is 1.30, which is shorter than the model's fair odds of 1.42. This results in a 1-star value rating, meaning there is no value edge in backing Twente at the current price. The model's expected goals (sG) for Twente is 2.7, whilst Telstar's is 1.06, further supporting the likelihood of a home win. The probability of both teams scoring (BTTS) is 55%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is 63%, indicating an open game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers for you to analyse and decide.
Player Intelligence
Twente has 10 players with a shots per 90 average above 1.5, led by a player with a rate of 3.092. Telstar has 3 players in this category, led by a player with a rate of 2.542. Twente also has 8 players with shots on target per 90 above 1.0, led by a player with a rate of 2.143. Telstar has only 1 player in this category, with a rate of 1.525. For more detailed player-level stats, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.