Where the model has them
Torino are projected to finish 16th in the 2026-27 Serie A season, with a 32.41% chance of relegation and an expected points tally of 38.9. This projection is driven by their attack and defence strength. The attack strength multiplier sits at 0.95, below the league average of 1.00, whilst their defence strength multiplier is 1.43, which is worse than the average of 1.00. The higher the defence multiplier, the leakier the defence. Their attacking Elo is 1576 and defending Elo is 1626, both middling at best.
In attack
Torino's attack is rated below average, with an attack strength multiplier of 0.95. Giovanni Simeone led the scoring last season with 10 goals in 31 appearances, contributing 32% of the goals. Simeone also had the highest shot volume with 55 shots in 31 games. Nikola Vlašić and Che Adams were the next best scorers with 8 goals and 6 goals respectively. Emirhan İlkhan provided 2 assists in 19 appearances. Despite Simeone's efforts, Torino lack a proven high-volume scorer, which is a significant limitation.
In defence
Defensively, Torino are rated as leakier than average, with a defence strength multiplier of 1.43. The defensive-actions leaders include Kian Fitz-Jim with 6.13 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90 minutes, Faustino Anjorin with 5.03, and Saúl Coco with 4.23. Eray Cömert won 25 tackles in 16 appearances. These numbers suggest a solid but not exceptional defensive unit.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw some changes that nudged the model's numbers. Offensively, the arrival of Alessio Cacciamani, who scored 2 goals last season, slightly improved the attack multiplier from 0.90 to 0.95. Defensively, Pietro Comuzzo, who had 105 defensive actions last season, came in, improving the defence multiplier from 1.31 to 1.43. Notable departures include Cyril Ngonge, who scored 1 goal, and defensive stalwart Guillermo Maripán. These changes have had a marginal impact on the overall projection.
Weaknesses and risks
The main weaknesses for Torino are their below-average attack and a defence that, whilst solid, is still leakier than the league average. The lack of a high-volume scorer and the modest defensive record mean that Torino are at risk of finishing in the lower half of the table, with a significant chance of relegation. These factors underpin the model's projection of a 16th-place finish and a 32.41% chance of dropping down a division.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Giovanni Simeone | 10 | 0.32 | 32% |
| Assists | Emirhan İlkhan | 2 | 0.11 | 11% |
| Shots | Giovanni Simeone | 55 | 1.77 | 77% |
| Tackles won | Eray Cömert | 25 | 1.56 | 88% |
| Fouls drawn | Giovanni Simeone | 40 | 1.29 | 84% |
| Fouls committed | Saúl Coco | 46 | 1.35 | 74% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Kian Fitz-Jim | 6.13 | 22 |
| Faustino Anjorin | 5.03 | 15 |
| Saúl Coco | 4.23 | 34 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Alessio Cacciamani (2g), out Cyril Ngonge (1g)
- Defence: in Pietro Comuzzo (105 def actions), out Guillermo Maripán
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._