Eliteserien | Saturday, 1 August 2026 | 16:00 GMT
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Start
In their last 10 home games, Start has won 1, drawn 1, and lost 8, scoring 4 goals and conceding 8. The scorelines were 0-3 (Rosenborg), 2-0 (Valerenga), 1-4 (Bodo/Glimt), and 1-1 (Tromso). Over their last 10 games in all venues, they have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 7, scoring 12 goals and conceding 26.
Viking
In their last 10 away games, Viking has won 4, drawn 1, and lost 5, scoring 9 goals and conceding 5. The scorelines were 1-1 (Aalesund), 2-1 (Lillestrom), 0-1 (Sarpsborg 08 FF), 2-1 (Kristiansund BK), and 2-0 (KFUM Oslo). Over their last 10 games in all venues, they have won 8, drawn 1, and lost 1, scoring 23 goals and conceding 11.
What the Numbers Say
The model rates Viking at 62% likelihood to win this match, making them the standout accumulator leg for today. The primary model gives Start a 19.3% chance of winning, a 18.7% chance of a draw, and Viking a 61.6% chance of winning away. A second independent model also agrees on the direction (away). This is why Viking is the most probable result today.
However, when it comes to value, the picture changes. The market price for Viking is 1.45, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.62. This gives a one-star value rating, meaning there is no value edge in backing Viking at the current price. The model sees Viking as the likely winner, but the price reflects that likelihood fairly, so there is no value to be had here on its own. This is a classic case where a high-likelihood outcome does not translate to a value selection. BetSignals surfaces the numbers, and the decision is yours.
The expected goals (sG) for each side also supports this view: Viking is projected at 2.38 goals whilst Start is at 1.24. The probabilities for both teams to score (58%) and over 2.5 goals (58%) suggest an open game, which aligns with the high expected goals for Viking. The team aggregates show Viking's stronger attacking record away from home, with more shots and shots on target, which contributes to their higher likelihood of winning.
Player Intelligence
The most striking player category across both teams is tackles, with Viking having a player at 2.824 tackles per 90 minutes compared to Start's top player at 3.685. The second most striking category is fouls drawn, where Viking has a player at 2.824 fouls drawn per 90 minutes, whilst Start's top player is at 2.653. These insights give you a deeper look into the game dynamics. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and make your own assessments.