Where the model has them
The model sees SK Beveren finishing around 5th this season, with a 0.18% chance of lifting the title, a 22.57% shot at the top four, and a 1.70% risk of relegation. That's 49.7 expected points. This projection is driven by a balanced but not spectacular attack and defence. The attack strength multiplier is 1.05, a whisker above the league average of 1.00, whilst the defence multiplier is 0.95, slightly better than the average. Their Elo ratings are at zero for both attack and defence, reflecting their newly-promoted status.
In attack
SK Beveren's attack is average at best, reflected in their 1.05 multiplier. There's no standout goal threat in the data, no proven high-volume scorer from last season. The key attacking player is Léandre Kuavita, who had 4 shots in 12 appearances, accounting for 25% of the games. That's not much. Without a reliable goal source, this attack will struggle to outgun the top sides regularly.
In defence
Defensively, SK Beveren looks a bit more solid with a 0.95 multiplier, suggesting they'll concede fewer goals than the average side. Again, Léandre Kuavita is the standout, leading the way with 8 tackles won in 12 appearances, playing in 58% of games. His 3.18 defensive actions per 90 minutes is the highest in the squad. This hints at a resilient backline, but against the league's best attacks, they'll be tested.
What the window changed
The summer transfer window didn't shift the dial much for SK Beveren. The attack multiplier stayed at 1.05 and the defence at 0.95. The notable arrival was Léandre Kuavita, who added defensive solidity with his 11 defensive actions. But this didn't materially change the model's view of their attacking or defensive capabilities.
Weaknesses and risks
The model's main concern for SK Beveren is their lack of a proven goal threat and the unproven nature of much of their squad at this level. They're newly promoted, so there's an adaptation period ahead. If they can't find a cutting edge in attack, that 5th place projection could slip. The defence looks more settled, but they'll need to step up against the Jupiler Pro League's top talents. This is a side that could underperform if they don't gel quickly.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | Léandre Kuavita | 4 | 0.33 | 25% |
| Tackles won | Léandre Kuavita | 8 | 0.67 | 58% |
| Fouls drawn | Léandre Kuavita | 10 | 0.83 | 50% |
| Fouls committed | Léandre Kuavita | 3 | 0.25 | 25% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Léandre Kuavita | 3.18 | 12 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Defence: in Léandre Kuavita (11 def actions), out -
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._