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Sirius

In their last five home games, Sirius have won four and drawn one, scoring 15 goals and conceding 8. The scorelines were 4-1 vs IFK Goteborg, 4-4 vs Mjallby AIF, 2-1 vs Gais, 2-0 vs Orgryte IS, and 3-2 vs Kalmar FF. Across their last ten games overall, Sirius have won nine and drawn one, scoring 28 goals and conceding 12.

IF Brommapojkarna

In their last five away games, IF Brommapojkarna have won two, drawn one, and lost two, scoring 8 goals and conceding 8. The scorelines were 1-2 vs IFK Goteborg, 2-2 vs Degerfors IF, 2-1 vs Djurgardens IF, 0-2 vs IF Elfsborg, and 3-1 vs Halmstad. Across their last ten games overall, they have won three, drawn three, and lost four, scoring 13 goals and conceding 14.

What the Numbers Say

Today's standout acca leg is Sirius at home, rated at 58% likelihood by the primary model. This model sees a 58% chance of a home win, 20% for a draw, and 21% for an away win. A second independent model also favours the home side. Sirius's attacking threat is clear, with an sG (signal goals) of 2.19 compared to IF Brommapojkarna's 1.23. The game is projected to be open, with a 56% chance of both teams scoring and a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals. Sirius's home form and goal-scoring rate support the model's view.

However, the price on offer for Sirius at 1.33 does not carry value. The model's fair odds are 1.71, meaning the market price is fair or shorter. This fixture is a 1* value rating, indicating no value edge. In plain terms, this is a likely result with no value in the price. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both squads is tackles, with Sirius players averaging 3.029 per 90 minutes and IF Brommapojkarna's top player at 3.481. The second most striking is shots on target, with Sirius players averaging 2.378 per 90 and IF Brommapojkarna's top player at 1.098. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data to inform your own analysis.