Eliteserien | Monday, 27 July 2026 | 17:00 GMT

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Rosenborg

In their last six home games, Rosenborg have played at Lerkendal Stadion and secured three wins, two draws, and one loss. They scored 12 goals and conceded seven in these matches. Individual results include wins against Kristiansund BK (3-0) and Lillestrom (2-0), a draw against Bodo/Glimt (2-2), and a loss to Aalesund (2-3). Over the last ten games, Rosenborg have four wins, three draws, and three losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 12.

Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad's last five away games show zero wins, one draw, and four losses. They scored three goals and conceded nine in these matches. Specific results include losses to Bodo/Glimt (0-1), Sandefjord (1-1), Sarpsborg 08 FF (1-2), and Brann (1-3). Across their last ten games, Fredrikstad have two wins, two draws, and six losses, scoring nine goals and conceding 16.

Why BetSignals Rates This Game

Our primary model gives Rosenborg a 46.5% chance of winning, compared to 28.8% for Fredrikstad, with a 24.6% probability of a draw. Encouragingly, a second independent model agrees on the direction, favouring Rosenborg. This cross-model agreement on direction has earned this fixture a 4* signal rating. However, BetSignals does not tell you what to do with this information, we surface the data, and you make your own informed decision.

The expected goals (sG) for Rosenborg stand at 1.59, compared to Fredrikstad's 1.19, indicating a slightly higher attacking threat from the home side. The 50% probability of both teams scoring suggests this game could be open, with chances for both sides. The 51% chance of over 2.5 goals further supports this. Rosenborg's stronger home form, with a higher shot volume and better defensive record, helps explain why the model leans towards them.

Player Intelligence

This season, tackles stand out as the most significant category for both teams, with the top player for Rosenborg averaging 2.883 tackles per 90 minutes, and for Fredrikstad, 3.432 per 90 minutes. In terms of fouls drawn, Fredrikstad lead with an average of 2.672 fouls drawn per 90 minutes, compared to Rosenborg's 2.318.

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