Where the model has them
The model projects Red Star FC 93 to finish around 7th this season, with a 3.59% chance of winning the title, 21.48% for the top four, and 6.67% chance of relegation. This is driven by an expected points tally of 48.3. The attack strength multiplier is 1.02 (1.00 is the league average, anything higher indicates a stronger attack), whilst the defence sits at 0.95 (1.00 is average, lower is better for defence). The attacking Elo is 1489, and the defending Elo is 1522.
In attack
The attack strength multiplier of 1.02 suggests that Red Star's offence is just about average. Damien Durand led the line last season with 10 goals in 33 appearances, contributing to 27% of the team's goals. He also led in shot volume with 40 shots in 33 games. Saîf-Eddine Khaoui provided 6 assists in 29 appearances. The top scorers in the squad are Durand (10g/4a), Jovany Ikanga (6g/1a), and Kevin Cabral (5g/3a). The lack of a proven high-volume scorer remains a concern, with Durand's 10 goals being the best last season.
In defence
On the defensive side, the 0.95 multiplier indicates a slightly above-average defence. The defensive-actions leaders are Balthazar Pierret with 4.3 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90 minutes, Théo Magnin with 3.92 per 90, and Dylan Durivaux with 3.35 per 90. Théo Magnin also won 19 tackles in just 12 appearances, showing his impact when on the pitch. This defensive solidity is a strength for the team.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw minor tweaks to the model's projections. The attack multiplier moved from 1.01 to 1.02, and the defence from 0.97 to 0.95. The notable departures were Hacene Benali, who scored 5 goals last season, and defensive player Giovanni Haag. These changes suggest a slight strengthening in both attack and defence, but nothing dramatic.
Weaknesses and risks
The main risk to the projection is the lack of a proven high-volume scorer. Damien Durand's 10 goals last season were the best in the squad, but that's not enough to consistently challenge for the top spots. The defence is solid, but the attack needs more firepower to push for a higher finish.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Damien Durand | 10 | 0.3 | 27% |
| Assists | Saîf-Eddine Khaoui | 6 | 0.21 | 17% |
| Shots | Damien Durand | 40 | 1.21 | 67% |
| Tackles won | Théo Magnin | 19 | 1.58 | 83% |
| Fouls drawn | Dylan Durivaux | 70 | 2.12 | 91% |
| Fouls committed | Ryad Hachem | 36 | 1.13 | 81% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Balthazar Pierret | 4.3 | 16 |
| Théo Magnin | 3.92 | 12 |
| Dylan Durivaux | 3.35 | 33 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in -, out Hacene Benali (5g)
- Defence: in -, out Giovanni Haag
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._