RAAL La Louvière: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 model profile
The model has RAAL La Louvière finishing around 17th, with a 0.00% chance of lifting the title, a 0.35% chance of breaking into the top four, and a 50.00% probability of relegation. This projection comes down to their attack and defence strength, and their Elo ratings. Their attack multiplier is 0.67, which is below the league average of 1.00, meaning they struggle to score. Their defence multiplier is 1.03, slightly above average, showing they are reasonably solid at the back. Their attacking Elo is 1424, whilst their defending Elo is 1495. This tells us they are more competent at defending than attacking.
In attack, RAAL La Louvière are below average, with an attack multiplier of 0.67. Wagane Faye was their top scorer last season with just 3 goals in 25 appearances. Nolan Gillot chipped in with 4 assists in 20 games, but their shot volume is low. Gillot had 17 shots in 20 appearances, but that's still only 55% of games. Their top scorers are Faye with 3 goals and 1 assist, Gillot with 2 goals and 4 assists, and Siad Gourville, who arrived this summer, with 1 goal last season.
Defensively, they are a bit sturdier, with a defence multiplier of 1.03. Their defensive-actions leaders are Samuel Gueulette with 4.61 per 90, Mehdi Boukamir with 4.6 per 90, and Wagane Faye with 3.77 per 90. Sami Lahssaini won 57 tackles in 30 appearances, which is 90% of games. This shows they have some solid performers at the back, but it's not enough to cover for their weak attack.
The transfer window saw some changes, but nothing game-changing. Siad Gourville arrived, contributing 1 goal and 91 defensive actions last season. They lost Pape Moussa Fall, their top scorer with 11 goals last term. This moved their attack multiplier from 0.78 to 0.67, and their defence multiplier from 1.07 to 1.03. The loss of Fall's goals has weakened their attack, whilst Gourville's two-way contributions have slightly bolstered their defence.
The model's main concerns for RAAL La Louvière revolve around their lack of a proven high-volume scorer and an attack rated below the league average. Losing Pape Moussa Fall, their top scorer last season with 11 goals, has not been adequately compensated for. This, combined with their below-average attack multiplier of 0.67, points to a real struggle in finding the net consistently. Their defence, whilst slightly above average, won't be enough to cover for this attacking shortfall. This is why the model sees them battling relegation, with a 50.00% chance of going down.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Wagane Faye | 3 | 0.12 | 12% |
| Assists | Nolan Gillot | 4 | 0.2 | 10% |
| Shots | Nolan Gillot | 17 | 0.85 | 55% |
| Tackles won | Sami Lahssaini | 57 | 1.9 | 90% |
| Fouls drawn | Sami Lahssaini | 63 | 2.1 | 87% |
| Fouls committed | Sami Lahssaini | 45 | 1.5 | 80% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gueulette | 4.61 | 27 |
| Mehdi Boukamir | 4.6 | 15 |
| Wagane Faye | 3.77 | 25 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Siad Gourville (1g), out Pape Moussa Fall (11g)
- Defence: in Siad Gourville (91 def actions), out Jordi Liongola
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._