QPR: Championship 2026-27 model profile
Where the model has them
The model has QPR finishing around 14th this season. The title is a 0.30% chance, top four 3.85% and relegation 10.29%. They're projected to collect 59.3 points. This sits them mid-table, driven by an attack strength multiplier of 1.12 (a shade above average) and a defence multiplier of 1.22 (a bit weaker than the league norm). Their attacking Elo is 1506, defensive Elo 1526. It's a balanced but unspectacular profile.
In attack
QPR's attack is slightly above average, reflected in that 1.12 multiplier. Rumarn Burrell was the top scorer last season with 10 goals in 29 appearances, contributing 31% of the goals. Nicolas Madsen provided 6 assists in 38 games. Ilias Chair had the highest shot volume with 20 in just 15 appearances, showing he's a key creator when fit. The top scorers in the squad are Burrell, Richard Kone (10g/2a) and Paul Smyth (6g/2a). But there's no proven high-volume scorer in the ranks. Burrell's 10 goals were the best last season, which isn't a lot. This attack needs more firepower to push higher up the table.
In defence
Defensively, QPR are rated a bit weaker than average with that 1.22 multiplier (remember, lower is better here). The defensive-actions leaders are Jonathan Varane (4.32 per 90), Esquerdinha (3.61 per 90) and Amadou Salif Mbengue (3.43 per 90). Nicolas Madsen won 59 tackles in 38 appearances, showing his work-rate. But this defence is a soft spot. The multiplier and the reliance on a few players for defensive actions suggest they'll concede more than the top-half sides.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw some moves that nudged the model's view. Boy Kemper arrived and boosted the attack multiplier from 0.96 to 1.12, whilst solidifying the defence (his 87 defensive actions last season show why). He scored 5 goals and had 87 defensive actions last term, a useful dual threat. Rhys Norrington-Davies left, taking his 1 goal and defensive contributions with him. The defence multiplier stayed at 1.22, showing the window didn't shift the defensive outlook much. Kemper's arrival is the key change, giving QPR a bit more punch upfront and solidity at the back.
Weaknesses and risks
The model's main concerns for QPR centre around their lack of a proven high-volume scorer and a defence rated weaker than average. Burrell's 10 goals last season were the best, but that's not enough to carry an attack in the Championship. Their defence, whilst having some solid individual performers, is projected to concede more than the top-half sides. These two factors combined point to a mid-table finish, with a real risk of slipping towards the bottom if things don't click. The model's not tipping QPR for anything spectacular this season.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Rumarn Burrell | 10 | 0.34 | 31% |
| Assists | Nicolas Madsen | 6 | 0.16 | 16% |
| Shots | Ilias Chair | 20 | 1.33 | 87% |
| Tackles won | Nicolas Madsen | 59 | 1.55 | 84% |
| Fouls drawn | Boy Kemper | 40 | 1.25 | 81% |
| Fouls committed | Richard Kone | 72 | 1.67 | 77% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Varane | 4.32 | 35 |
| Esquerdinha | 3.61 | 16 |
| Amadou Salif Mbengue | 3.43 | 40 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Boy Kemper (5g), out Rhys Norrington-Davies (1g)
- Defence: in Boy Kemper (87 def actions), out Rhys Norrington-Davies
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._