League One | Tuesday, 20 October 2026 | 18:45 GMT
Recent Form
Notts County
Notts County's home record over their last five games stands at two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring seven goals and conceding five. Their most recent home results were a 1-2 loss to Oxford United, a 0-1 loss to Bradford, a 2-1 win against Burton Albion, a 1-1 draw with Leicester, and a 3-0 win over Salford City. Across their last ten games in all venues, they have two wins, four draws, and four losses, scoring 11 goals and conceding 13.
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday's away record over their last four games shows three wins and one draw, scoring eight goals and conceding five. Their recent away results were a 2-2 draw with Huddersfield, a 2-1 win against Peterborough, a 2-1 win over Wycombe, and a 2-1 win against Leyton Orient. Across their last ten games in all venues, they have six wins, three draws, and one loss, scoring 22 goals and conceding nine.
What the Numbers Say
The model rates Sheffield Wednesday's away win at 60% likelihood, making it today's standout accumulator leg. This strong probability comes from the primary model's win probabilities: 18.6% for a home win, 21.7% for a draw, and 59.6% for an away win. A second independent model agrees on the away direction. Sheffield Wednesday's superior attacking threat (1.93 sG) compared to Notts County's (0.95 sG) supports this view, alongside their solid away form.
Turning to the price, the market odds for Sheffield Wednesday are 2.15, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.68. This creates a five-star value edge of +28.1%, meaning the price offers significant value. The game is projected to be open, with a 55% chance of both teams scoring and a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals. Sheffield Wednesday's higher shot volume and goal rate further reinforce the model's confidence. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision on how to use them is yours.
Player Intelligence
Sheffield Wednesday leads in attacking output, with a player averaging 4.091 shots per 90 minutes, compared to Notts County's top shot creator at 2.929 per 90. In tackling, Notts County has a player with an impressive 8.521 tackles per 90, whilst Sheffield Wednesday's best is at 3.198 per 90. For the full player-level breakdown and more data points, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.