UEFA Champions League | Tuesday, 3 November 2026 | 20:00 GMT
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Manchester United
At home, Manchester United have played four games with a record of one win, one draw, and two losses. They've scored five goals and conceded five, with individual scorelines of 0-3 (L), 1-1 (D), 0-1 (L), and 4-0 (W). Their overall record in the last 10 games is one win, four draws, and five losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 17.
AS Roma
On the road, AS Roma have played five games with a record of two wins and three draws. They've scored 11 goals and conceded six, with individual scorelines of 5-2 (W), 3-3 (D), 0-0 (D), 2-0 (W), and 1-1 (D). Their overall record in the last 10 games is five wins, four draws, and one loss, scoring 26 goals and conceding 14.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model gives AS Roma a 63% likelihood of winning this fixture, making them the standout acca leg today. The model sees this match ending with a 18% chance of a home win, 19% chance of a draw, and 63% chance of an away win. A second independent model agrees on the direction, backing AS Roma to take the points.
When it comes to value, the market price of 2.70 for AS Roma is well above the model's fair odds of 1.59, earning a 4* value rating. This means there's a 69.4% edge in the price over what the model thinks is fair. AS Roma's attacking threat is rated at 2.37 sG compared to Manchester United's 1.17, suggesting a more open game. The probability of both teams scoring is 56%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 60%. The model's data points to a likely and valuable away win here.
Player Intelligence
AS Roma lead in shots per 90 with a top value of 4.767, compared to Manchester United's 3.965. In tackles per 90, Manchester United has a slight edge with a top value of 5.625 against AS Roma's 3.761. For more detailed player-level insights, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.