Allsvenskan | Monday, 12 October 2026 | 17:00 GMT

Recent Form

Malmo FF

Malmo FF's home form shows a win, draw and three losses in the last five games. Goals scored at home: six. Goals conceded at home: eight. The home scorelines in order: 4-1, 0-0, 0-3, 1-2, 1-2. Overall, Malmo FF's last 10 games across all venues show four wins, two draws and four losses. Goals for: 12. Goals against: 13.

Kalmar FF

Kalmar FF's away form shows no wins, two draws and three losses in the last five games. Goals scored away: three. Goals conceded away: six. The away scorelines in order: 0-1, 0-1, 0-0, 2-3, 1-1. Overall, Kalmar FF's last 10 games across all venues show one win, three draws and six losses. Goals for: seven. Goals against: 19.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives Malmo FF a 55% chance of winning this match, making them the standout accumulator leg on today's card. The model sees the home win as the most likely outcome, with a 55.4% probability for Malmo FF, a 24.9% chance of a draw and a 19.7% probability for an away win. A second independent model agrees on the home direction. This is why Malmo FF is today's most probable selection.

But when it comes to value, the price on offer does not stack up. The market has Malmo FF at 1.75, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.81. That gives a one-star value rating, meaning there is no value edge in the price. The model sees Malmo FF's attacking threat at 1.61 sG (signal goals) compared to Kalmar FF's 0.84 sG. The game is projected as fairly open, with a 40.4% chance of both teams scoring and a 40.9% probability of over 2.5 goals. BetSignals surfaces these numbers for you to analyse. The decision on which selections to make is always yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player category across both squads is fouls drawn, with Malmo FF having eight players above the 1.5/90 threshold and a top rate of 3.75 per 90 minutes. Kalmar FF has six players above the same threshold, with a top rate of 4.592 per 90. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and analyse the data yourself.