Where the model has them
The model has Lazio finishing 9th in the projected table, with an expected finishing position of 10.5. The attack strength multiplier is 0.89, which is below the league average of 1.00, whilst the defence multiplier is 0.91, slightly above the average. The attacking Elo is 1589, and the defending Elo is 1686. These numbers reflect a side that is solid but unspectacular, with a defence that's just about holding its own and an attack that's struggling to make an impact.
In attack
Lazio's attack is rated below the league average, with an attack strength multiplier of 0.89. The key attacking player is Gabriele Artistico, who scored 13 goals in 31 appearances last season, contributing to 36% of the team's goals. Artistico also had 48 shots in those 31 games, showing his involvement in the attacking play. Kenneth Taylor provided 6 assists in 36 appearances, although his contribution was more spread out, accounting for 17% of the team's assists. The attack, though, is below average, and this is a significant factor in the model's projection of a mid-table finish.
In defence
Defensively, Lazio is slightly above average, with a defence multiplier of 0.91. The defensive-actions leaders include Alfonso Pedraza with 3.95 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90 minutes, Nicolò Rovella with 3.69, and Matteo Cancellieri with 3.52. These players are crucial in maintaining Lazio's defensive solidity. The defence, whilst not spectacular, is reliable enough to keep the team out of trouble, but it's the attack that's letting them down.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw some key changes. Offensively, the arrival of Gabriele Artistico, who scored 13 goals last season, slightly improved the attack multiplier from 0.9 to 0.89. Defensively, the addition of Danilho Doekhi, who had 107 defensive actions last season, kept the defence multiplier steady at 0.91. The departure of Pedro, who scored 5 goals last season, was offset by Artistico's arrival. Defensively, the loss of Mario Gila Fuentes was balanced by Doekhi's arrival. These changes have had a marginal impact on the model's projections, with the attack still below average and the defence remaining solid.
Weaknesses and risks
The main weakness the model sees is Lazio's below-average attack. With an attack multiplier of 0.89, the team struggles to score goals consistently. This is the primary risk to the projection, as it limits their ability to climb the table. If Lazio can't improve their attacking output, they'll likely remain in mid-table obscurity, relying on their slightly above-average defence to keep them safe from relegation. The model's numbers show a team that's steady but uninspiring, and that's reflected in the projected 9th-place finish.
---
Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Gabriele Artistico | 13 | 0.42 | 36% |
| Assists | Kenneth Taylor | 6 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Shots | Gabriele Artistico | 48 | 1.55 | 68% |
| Tackles won | Mattia Zaccagni | 37 | 1.42 | 81% |
| Fouls drawn | Mattia Zaccagni | 82 | 3.15 | 96% |
| Fouls committed | Kenneth Taylor | 46 | 1.28 | 81% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Pedraza | 3.95 | 32 |
| Nicolò Rovella | 3.69 | 11 |
| Matteo Cancellieri | 3.52 | 30 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Gabriele Artistico (13g), out Pedro (5g)
- Defence: in Danilho Doekhi (107 def actions), out Mario Gila Fuentes
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._