KVC Westerlo: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 Model Projection

KVC Westerlo: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 model profile

Where the model has them

The model has KVC Westerlo finishing around 16th, with a 0.86% chance of breaking into the top four and a 34.43% chance of relegation. This projection comes down to the balance between their attack and defence. Their attack strength multiplier sits at 0.83, which means they're weaker than the league average when it comes to putting the ball in the net. On the flip side, their defence multiplier is 1.14, showing they're a bit leakier than average at the back. Their attacking Elo is 1492, whilst their defending Elo is 1487. These numbers paint a clear picture of a side that struggles to score but isn't exactly watertight at the back either.

In attack

When you look at Westerlo's attack, the numbers tell a tale of underperformance. Their attack strength multiplier of 0.83 is below the league average, and the key stats back this up. Isa Sakamoto led the line with just 6 goals in 36 appearances, which isn't exactly prolific. Dylan Ourega chipped in with 4 assists in 25 games, but that's not enough to drive a potent attack. Sakamoto also had the most shots at 43, but that's not translating into enough goals. With no proven high-volume scorer in the squad, it's clear that Westerlo's attack is below average.

In defence

Defensively, Westerlo's numbers show a bit more promise, but it's not all good news. Their defence multiplier of 1.14 indicates they concede more than the average side. However, they do have some solid performers in this area. Ibrahim Fofana leads the way with 90 tackles won in 27 appearances, and he's also their top defensive-actions leader with 5.21 per 90 minutes. Lucas Mbamba and Doğucan Haspolat follow closely behind in the defensive stats. Whilst this suggests some strength at the back, the higher defence multiplier shows it's not enough to make them a top-tier defence.

What the window changed

The transfer window saw some changes that nudged the model's numbers. Attackingly, the arrival of Norman Bassette, who scored 3 goals last season, did little to offset the loss of Nacho Ferri, who bagged 10 goals. This shift is reflected in the attack multiplier dropping from 0.98 to 0.83. Defensively, the addition of Ibrahim Fofana, who had 134 defensive actions last season, improved the defence multiplier slightly from 1.1 to 1.14. However, the departure of Arthur Piedfort meant the defence didn't get a massive boost. Overall, the window didn't bring any game-changing moves for Westerlo.

Weaknesses and risks

The main risks to Westerlo's projection come down to their lack of firepower up front and a defence that, whilst not terrible, is still above average in terms of goals conceded. With no proven high-volume scorer and an attack rated below the league average, they're going to struggle to rack up points. Add to that a defence that's slightly leakier than average, and you've got a side that's likely to be scrapping at the bottom end of the table. The loss of Nacho Ferri's goals hasn't been adequately replaced, and their defensive solidity, whilst improved, still leaves them vulnerable. These factors combined are why the model sees them hovering around the relegation spots.

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Key players (last season)

Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)

Transfer impact (model)

• Attack: in Norman Bassette (3g), out Nacho Ferri (10g)
• Defence: in Ibrahim Fofana (134 def actions), out Arthur Piedfort

_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._