2. Bundesliga | Friday, 16 October 2026 | 16:30 GMT

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel's home form shows a W/D/L record of 1-3-1 across their last five games. They've scored 8 goals and conceded 8. The individual scorelines were: 1-1 vs VfL Osnabrück, 2-2 vs 1. FC Nürnberg, 2-2 vs FC St. Pauli, 1-3 vs 1. FC Magdeburg, and 2-0 vs Eintracht Braunschweig. Over their last ten games overall, they've managed 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 11 goals and conceding 16.

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC's away form shows a W/D/L record of 4-0-2 across their last six games. They've scored 12 goals and conceded 12. The individual scorelines were: 2-1 vs Dynamo Dresden, 3-1 vs VfL Osnabrück, 5-3 vs Eintracht Braunschweig, 1-0 vs VfL Bochum, 1-6 vs Arminia Bielefeld, and 0-1 vs 1. FC Magdeburg. Over their last ten games overall, they've secured 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 22 goals and conceding 16.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates Hertha BSC at 60% likelihood to win this match, making them the standout accumulator leg. The model's win probabilities stand at 20.1% for Holstein Kiel, 19.5% for a draw, and 60% for Hertha BSC. A second independent model agrees on the away direction.

The market price for Hertha BSC is 2.20, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.67, marking this selection with a five-star value rating. That means the price is 32% longer than the model's fair odds, offering real value. Hertha BSC's sG (signal goals) of 2.25 compared to Holstein Kiel's 1.21 reflects their stronger attacking threat. The probabilities for Both Teams to Score (58%) and Over 2.5 goals (57%) suggest an open game, aligning with Hertha's likely victory. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. Hertha BSC has a player with 9.677 shots per 90, significantly higher than Holstein Kiel's top player at 3.25. The second most striking category is shots on target per 90, where Hertha BSC again leads with 3.871 compared to Holstein Kiel's 1.125. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for even more data-driven insights.