2. Bundesliga | Friday, 14 August 2026 | 16:30 GMT
Recent Form
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel's home form shows a W/D/L record of 2/1/2 across their last five games. They scored 8 goals and conceded 6, with individual scorelines of 1-3, 2-0, 3-0, 0-0, and 2-3. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), they have a W/D/L record of 4/2/4, scoring 15 goals and conceding 14.
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli's away form shows a W/D/L record of 0/1/3 across their last four games. They scored 2 goals and conceded 7, with individual scorelines of 1-2, 0-2, 1-1, and 0-2. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), they have a W/D/L record of 0/3/7, scoring 7 goals and conceding 21.
What the Numbers Say
Today's standout acca leg is Holstein Kiel at home, with a model likelihood of 56%. The primary model sees this as the most probable result, with win probabilities of 56.3% for Holstein Kiel, 22.6% for a draw, and 20.9% for FC St. Pauli. A second independent model agrees on the direction, reinforcing the home side's edge.
On the price, the market odds for Holstein Kiel are 2.38, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.77. This gives a two-star value rating, indicating modest home value. The price edge is +34.1%, making it both a likely result and a small value edge. Holstein Kiel's sG (signal goals) stands at 1.85, compared to FC St. Pauli's 1.01, suggesting a more potent home attack. The game projects as open, with both BTTS and Over 2.5 goals at 50% probability. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision is yours.
Player Intelligence
The most striking category across both squads is tackles, with Holstein Kiel having a player at 3.77 tackles per 90 minutes and FC St. Pauli at 3.346. The second most striking is shots on target, with Holstein Kiel's top player at 2 per 90 and FC St. Pauli's at 2.213. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data-led insights.