Heracles vs Groningen - Eredivisie Preview

Eredivisie | Sunday, 17 May 2026 | 12:30 GMT

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Heracles

In their last five home games, Heracles recorded two draws and three losses. They scored two goals and conceded nine in these fixtures. Their overall last ten games show eight losses, two draws, three goals scored, and 25 conceded.

Groningen

Groningen's last five away games resulted in three losses, one win, and one draw. They scored seven goals and conceded nine. Across their last ten games, they have four wins, two draws, four losses, 17 goals scored, and 14 conceded.

Why BetSignals Rates This Game

The primary model gives a 19.4% chance of a Heracles win, 24.4% for a draw, and a 53.5% chance of a Groningen win. A second model independently points in the same direction. This agreement on direction from two models gives this fixture a 3* signal rating. Remember, BetSignals presents the data for you to make your own informed decision. The 0.78 expected goals (sG) for Heracles versus 1.99 for Groningen indicate Groningen's greater attacking threat. A 50.4% chance of both teams scoring and a 48.3% chance of over 2.5 total goals suggests an open game. Groningen's higher shot volume and better defensive record away from home could explain the model's lean towards an away win.

Player Intelligence

Leading the stats, tackles are a strong suit for both teams, with Heracles averaging 3.873 per 90 minutes and Groningen 2.264. On shots on target, Groningen's 1.698 per 90 minutes outstrips Heracles' 1.03. Log in or create a free account on BetSignals to explore the full player-level breakdown and incorporate these insights into your own analysis.