UEFA Europa Conference League | Thursday, 5 November 2026 | 20:00 GMT

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Getafe

Getafe's home record in the last 10 games is 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 9. Their home results in order are: W 3-1 vs Sevilla, L 2-5 vs FC Lugano, D 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano, W 1-0 vs Malaga, D 1-1 vs Deportivo La Coruna, D 1-1 vs Celta Vigo. Across their last 10 matches overall (home and away), Getafe has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 18.

Brighton

Brighton's away record in the last 10 games is 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 6. Their away results in order are: W 1-0 vs Manchester City, L 0-2 vs Liverpool, D 0-0 vs FK Jablonec, W 2-0 vs Sunderland, W 5-0 vs Coventry, L 3-4 vs Chelsea. Across their last 10 matches overall (home and away), Brighton has 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 7.

What the Numbers Say

The model rates Brighton as the most likely outcome at 70%. The primary model's probabilities are home 12.3%, draw 17.7%, away 69.5%. Two independent models agree on the direction (away). This makes Brighton the standout accumulator leg today.

Now, about the price. The market odds for Brighton are 1.62, but the model's fair odds are 1.44. That's a value edge of 12.7%, earning this selection a 5* rating. Brighton's sG (signal goals) is 2.32 compared to Getafe's 0.83. The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, and over 2.5 goals is 54%, suggesting an open game. Brighton's season-level stats show they score 2.5 goals per game away whilst conceding only 0.25, with 19.25 shots and 5.25 shots on target per game away. Getafe, on the other hand, score 1 goal per game at home whilst conceding 2, with 12.625 shots and 3.875 shots on target per game at home. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player category across this game is shots. Brighton has 9 players averaging over 1.5 shots per 90 minutes, with their top performer at 4.793. Getafe has 4 players over this threshold, with their top at 3.008. The second most striking category is fouls drawn. Getafe has 7 players averaging over 1.5 fouls drawn per 90, with their top at 3.581. Brighton has 6 players over this threshold, with their top at 3.195. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and dive deeper into the data.