Serie A | Saturday, 12 September 2026 | 13:00 GMT
Recent Form
Genoa
Genoa's home form shows a W/D/L record of 1-0-4 across their last five games. They have scored four goals and conceded 11. Their recent home results are as follows: 1-4 loss to Como, 0-2 loss to Napoli, 1-2 loss to AC Milan, 0-2 loss to Como, and a 2-1 win against Sassuolo. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), Genoa has a W/D/L record of 2-2-6, scoring six goals and conceding 14.
Frosinone
Frosinone's away form shows a perfect W/D/L record of 4-0-0 across their last four games. They have scored nine goals and conceded two. Their recent away results are as follows: 3-0 win against Fiorentina, 1-0 win against Juve Stabia, 2-1 win against Modena, and a 3-1 win against Sudtirol. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), Frosinone has a W/D/L record of 9-0-1, scoring 24 goals and conceding six.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model rates Frosinone as the most probable result at 65% likelihood, making this the standout acca leg today. The model's win probabilities are 14.5% for Genoa, 20.2% for a draw, and 65% for Frosinone. A second independent model agrees on the direction, further backing the away side.
The market price for Frosinone is 3.75, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.54. This gives a value edge of +143.8%, earning a three-star rating. Frosinone's sG (signal goals) stands at 2.04, compared to Genoa's 0.82, highlighting the away side's attacking threat. The game is projected to be open, with a 53% chance of both teams scoring and a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals. BetSignals surfaces these numbers, and the decision is yours.
Player Intelligence
The most striking player category across both teams is fouls drawn, with Frosinone leading the way. Frosinone has five players drawing over 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes, with a top rate of 2.667. Genoa has two players drawing over 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes, with a top rate of 1.985. For the full player-level breakdown, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.