Where the model has them
The model has Genk finishing around 3rd, with a 1.37% chance of lifting the title, a 55.49% chance of finishing in the top four, and a 0.18% chance of relegation. They're expected to finish with 55.9 points. This projection is driven by their attack and defence strength, as well as their Elo ratings. Their attack strength multiplier is 1.19, which means they score 19% more goals than the average team. Their defence multiplier is 0.88, meaning they concede 12% fewer goals than the average team. Their attacking Elo is 1530 and their defending Elo is 1569, showing they're slightly stronger in defence.
In attack
Genk's attack is well above average, with an attack strength multiplier of 1.19. Jeppe Erenbjerg will be key up front, after scoring 13 goals in 34 appearances last season. Konstantinos Karetsas provides creativity with 13 assists in 44 games. Aaron Bibout offers shot volume, firing 47 shots in 27 appearances. The top scorers in the squad are Daan Heymans (14g/8a), Jeppe Erenbjerg (13g/3a), and Zakaria El Ouahdi (12g/5a). This potent attack should see Genk score plenty of goals next season.
In defence
Genk's defence is solid, with a defence multiplier of 0.88. Their defensive-actions leaders are Ibrahima Sory Bangoura (4.8 per 90), Bryan Heynen (4.37 per 90), and Adrian Palacios (4.26 per 90). Mujaid Sadick won 95 tackles in 46 appearances last season. This organised defence, combined with their strong attack, should see Genk concede few goals whilst scoring plenty.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw Genk's attack multiplier move from 1.11 to 1.19, and their defence multiplier improve from 0.91 to 0.88. The key attacking arrival was Jeppe Erenbjerg, who scored 13 goals and made 46 defensive actions last season. The notable attacking departure was Hyun-gyu Oh, who scored 8 goals. Defensively, the arrival of Jeppe Erenbjerg (46 defensive actions) and the departure of Patrik Hrošovský saw a slight improvement in the model's defensive rating.
Weaknesses and risks
The model sees no significant weaknesses in Genk's squad. Their attack is above average, their defence is solid, and they have a balanced squad with quality in key areas. The main risk to the projection would be if key players like Jeppe Erenbjerg or Daan Heymans suffer injuries or loss of form. But as it stands, the numbers suggest Genk will be right up there challenging for the top spots next season.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Jeppe Erenbjerg | 13 | 0.38 | 35% |
| Assists | Konstantinos Karetsas | 13 | 0.3 | 25% |
| Shots | Aaron Bibout | 47 | 1.74 | 85% |
| Tackles won | Mujaid Sadick | 95 | 2.07 | 89% |
| Fouls drawn | Konstantinos Karetsas | 80 | 1.82 | 73% |
| Fouls committed | Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | 55 | 1.53 | 75% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | 4.8 | 36 |
| Bryan Heynen | 4.37 | 51 |
| Adrian Palacios | 4.26 | 13 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Jeppe Erenbjerg (13g), out Hyun-gyu Oh (8g)
- Defence: in Jeppe Erenbjerg (46 def actions), out Patrik Hrošovský
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._