Where the model has them
The model has Feyenoord finishing around 2nd in the Eredivisie this season. The title is a long shot at 8.78%, but a top-four finish is more than likely at 55.42%. Relegation is off the table at 0.22%. The expected points tally is 58.5. This projection is driven by the attack and defence strength multipliers, and the Elo ratings. The attack multiplier sits at 1.25, marking Feyenoord as a potent offensive side. The defence multiplier is 0.89, indicating a solid, if not spectacular, backline. The attacking Elo is 1645, whilst the defensive Elo is 1603.
In attack
Feyenoord's attack is above average, reflected in the 1.25 multiplier. Ayase Ueda is the key man up front, banging in 26 goals last season. Jordan Bos chipped in with 9 assists, and Nacho Ferri led the shot volume with 83 efforts. The top scorers in the squad are Ueda with 26 goals and 1 assist, Anis Hadj Moussa with 14 goals and 7 assists, and Ferri with 10 goals and 2 assists. This firepower should see Feyenoord score regularly this season.
In defence
The defence multiplier of 0.89 shows Feyenoord as a solid, if unspectacular, defensive unit. The defensive-actions leaders are Oussama Targhalline with 5.23 tackles, interceptions, and blocks per 90, Bart Nieuwkoop with 4.72, and Jordan Bos with 4.43. Bos also won 88 tackles last season. This suggests a disciplined backline capable of limiting the damage, even if it won’t be setting any records for clean sheets.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw minimal movement in the model's numbers for Feyenoord. The attack multiplier stayed at 1.25, whilst the defence moved slightly from 0.86 to 0.89. Gjivai Zechiël, who scored 8 goals last season, joined the attack. Quinten Timber, who scored 4 goals and was a defensive stalwart, left. Mika Mármol arrived to bolster the defence with 118 defensive actions, whilst Timber's departure slightly weakened the backline. Overall, the changes were marginal.
Weaknesses and risks
The model sees no specific weaknesses for Feyenoord this season. The attack is strong, the defence is solid, and the key players are retained. The main risk to the projection would be an unexpected drop in form for Ueda or Bos, given their significant contributions last season. But as it stands, the numbers point to a strong campaign for Feyenoord.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Ayase Ueda | 26 | 0.67 | 39% |
| Assists | Jordan Bos | 9 | 0.26 | 23% |
| Shots | Nacho Ferri | 83 | 2.44 | 88% |
| Tackles won | Jordan Bos | 88 | 2.51 | 91% |
| Fouls drawn | Nacho Ferri | 67 | 1.97 | 88% |
| Fouls committed | Nacho Ferri | 70 | 2.06 | 88% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Oussama Targhalline | 5.23 | 33 |
| Bart Nieuwkoop | 4.72 | 23 |
| Jordan Bos | 4.43 | 35 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Gjivai Zechiël (8g), out Quinten Timber (4g)
- Defence: in Mika Mármol (118 def actions), out Quinten Timber
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._