FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Prediction – 18 October 2026

Superliga | Sunday, 18 October 2026 | 16:00 GMT

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FC Copenhagen

In their last 10 home games, FC Copenhagen has a W/D/L record of 5/0/0, scoring 14 goals and conceding 2. Their last 5 home results were: W 4-1 vs Inter Turku, W 3-1 vs Sonderjyske, W 2-0 vs FC Nordsjaelland, W 2-0 vs AC Horsens, W 3-0 vs SC Braga. Across all venues in the last 10 games, they have a W/D/L record of 7/1/2, scoring 21 goals and conceding 8.

Aarhus

In their last 10 away games, Aarhus has a W/D/L record of 0/1/4, scoring 4 goals and conceding 10. Their last 5 away results were: L 0-3 vs Benfica, L 1-2 vs Randers FC, L 0-2 vs FC Nordsjaelland, D 2-2 vs AC Horsens, L 0-1 vs Gent. Across all venues in the last 10 games, they have a W/D/L record of 1/3/6, scoring 12 goals and conceding 19.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives FC Copenhagen a 65% chance of winning this match, with Aarhus at 15% and the draw at 19%. This makes Copenhagen the most probable result and the standout accumulator leg. A second independent model also agrees on the home win.

The market price for Copenhagen is 1.65, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.53, giving a 2* value rating. This is modest home value, which is the best you can get for home sides because home prices are efficient. The edge here is +7.6%, meaning the market price is longer than the model's fair odds. The expected goals (sG) for Copenhagen is 2.22, compared to 0.95 for Aarhus. The probability of both teams scoring (BTTS) is 52%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is 55%, suggesting an open game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both squads is shots per 90 minutes. FC Copenhagen has a player with 3.613 shots per 90, whilst Aarhus has a player with 3.936 shots per 90. The second most striking category is fouls drawn per 90 minutes, with Aarhus leading here at 4.0 fouls per 90 compared to Copenhagen's 1.711. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data-driven insights.