Where the model has them
The model has Eintracht Braunschweig finishing around 17th place, with a 0.05% chance of winning the title, 1.31% chance of making the top four, and a 38.87% probability of relegation. This projection comes from an expected points total of 37.6. The attack strength multiplier is 0.73 (league average is 1.00), showing an attack below the league average, whilst the defence multiplier is 0.98 (league average is 1.00), which is slightly above average but not significantly so. The attacking Elo is 1465 and the defending Elo is 1526, both of which contribute to the model's projections.
In attack
Eintracht Braunschweig's attack is below the league average, with an attack strength multiplier of 0.73. Lukas Frenkert led the team with 3 goals in 18 appearances, accounting for 17% of the games. Johan Arath Gomez provided 4 assists in 32 appearances, contributing to 13% of the games. Mehmet Aydın had the highest shot volume with 45 shots in 32 appearances, playing in 75% of the games. Aydın was also the top scorer in the squad with 5 goals and 3 assists. Despite these contributions, the attack lacks a proven high-volume scorer, which is a significant limitation.
In defence
The defence has a strength multiplier of 0.98, which is slightly better than the league average. Max Marie led in tackles won with 69 in 32 appearances, playing in 94% of the games. Mehmet Aydın and Kevin Ehlers were the leaders in defensive actions per 90 minutes, with Aydın at 4.26 and Ehlers at 4.0. Marie also contributed with 3.69 defensive actions per 90. This suggests a solid but not exceptional defensive unit.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw minor changes to the model's numbers. The attack multiplier moved from 0.74 to 0.73, and the defence multiplier improved from 1.07 to 0.98. Notable departures include Erencan Yardımcı, who scored 5 goals last season, and Sven Köhler in defence. These changes have had a marginal impact on the overall projections.
Weaknesses and risks
The main weaknesses for Eintracht Braunschweig are their below-average attack and the lack of a proven high-volume scorer. This, combined with only a slightly above-average defence, puts them at significant risk of finishing in the lower half of the table, with a high probability of relegation at 38.87%. The model’s projections reflect these vulnerabilities, leading to an expected finish around 17th place.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Lukas Frenkert | 3 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Assists | Johan Arath Gomez | 4 | 0.13 | 13% |
| Shots | Mehmet Aydın | 45 | 1.41 | 75% |
| Tackles won | Max Marie | 69 | 2.16 | 94% |
| Fouls drawn | Johan Arath Gomez | 49 | 1.53 | 78% |
| Fouls committed | Max Marie | 42 | 1.31 | 75% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Mehmet Aydın | 4.26 | 32 |
| Kevin Ehlers | 4 | 31 |
| Max Marie | 3.69 | 32 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in -, out Erencan Yardımcı (5g)
- Defence: in -, out Sven Köhler
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._