Segunda División | Sunday, 27 September 2026 | 16:30 GMT
Recent Form
Eibar
Eibar's home form in the last 10 games shows a W/D/L record of 3/0/1. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 3, with individual home scorelines of 3-0, 1-0, 1-3, and 2-0. Over the last 10 games overall, they have a W/D/L record of 7/0/3, scoring 17 goals and conceding 8.
Las Palmas
Las Palmas' away form in the last 10 games shows a W/D/L record of 3/1/1. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 7, with individual away scorelines of 1-0, 2-5, 2-0, 1-1, and 2-1. Over the last 10 games overall, they have a W/D/L record of 4/3/3, scoring 12 goals and conceding 12.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model gives Eibar a 48% chance of winning today, making them the most likely outcome. This is the standout accumulator leg on the card. The model sees the win probabilities as 48% for Eibar, 24.5% for a draw, and 27.3% for Las Palmas. A second independent model also leans towards Eibar winning. This is why Eibar is the primary selection.
But let's talk value. The market price for Eibar is 1.91, whilst the model's fair odds are 2.08. That gives a 1* value rating, meaning the market has priced this fairly or even slightly short. There's no value edge here, so this is a high-likelihood pick with no value. Eibar's sG (signal goals) is 1.62, compared to Las Palmas' 1.15, suggesting Eibar's attacking threat is stronger. The BTTS probability is 52% and the over 2.5 goals probability is 53%, indicating an open game. But remember, the decision is yours. BetSignals surfaces the numbers, you make the call.
Player Intelligence
The most striking category across both squads is shots per 90 minutes. Eibar has a player with 3.683 shots per 90, whilst Las Palmas has a player with 5.167 shots per 90. The second most striking category is fouls drawn per 90 minutes, with Eibar having a player at 2.362 and Las Palmas at 1.875. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data-driven insights.