UEFA Europa Conference League | Thursday, 6 August 2026 | 17:00 GMT

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Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv have played six home games in their last ten, with a record of three wins, one draw, and two losses. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 5 at home. The results were: L 2-3 vs PAOK, D 0-0 vs Universitatea Cluj, W 2-0 vs FC Noah, W 6-0 vs Zrinjski, L 0-2 vs Crystal Palace, and W 1-0 (no opponent listed). Overall in their last ten games, they have three wins, one draw, and six losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 14.

Qarabag

Qarabag have played four away games in their last ten, with a record of one win and three losses. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 11 away from home. The results were: W 3-0 vs Vestri, L 2-3 vs Newcastle, L 0-6 vs Liverpool, L 0-2 vs Napoli. Overall in their last ten games, they have three wins, two draws, and five losses, scoring 16 goals and conceding 25.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives Qarabag a 67% chance of winning this match, making them the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees a 5.4% chance for a Dynamo Kyiv win and a 27.6% chance of a draw. A second independent model also agrees on the direction, reinforcing Qarabag as the likely outcome.

When it comes to value, the market price for Qarabag at 3.30 is well above the model's fair odds of 1.49, creating a four-star value edge of +121%. This means not only is Qarabag the most probable result, but the price offers significant value. The expected goals (sG) for Qarabag are 1.36 compared to Dynamo Kyiv's 0.2, further supporting the away side. The probability of both teams scoring is 44%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 41%, suggesting an open game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player category across this game is tackles, with one Qarabag player averaging 4.342 tackles per 90 minutes, the highest in either squad. For shots, one Dynamo Kyiv player leads with 2.673 shots per 90. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and analyse these trends yourself.