Premier Division | Friday, 2 October 2026 | 18:45 GMT

Dundalk

At home, Dundalk's last 10 games have seen them lose 4, draw 1, and win 0, scoring 5 goals and conceding 12. Their last home result was a 2-3 loss to Shelbourne on 18th September. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Sligo Rovers and lost 0-4 to St Patrick's Athletic, 1-2 to Galway United, and 1-2 to Drogheda United. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), Dundalk have won 1, drawn 3, and lost 6, scoring 13 and conceding 21.

Bohemians

On the road, Bohemians' last 10 games have seen them win 2, draw 0, and lose 3, scoring 10 goals and conceding 11. Their last away result was a 3-2 win against Galway United on 11th September. Before that, they lost 2-3 to FC Midtjylland, 1-3 to Waterford, 2-3 to Ballkani, and won 2-0 against Drogheda United. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), Bohemians have won 5, drawn 1, and lost 4, scoring 21 and conceding 18.

What the Numbers Say

Today's standout acca leg is Bohemians at 50% model likelihood. The primary model gives Dundalk a 29.5% chance of winning at home, a 20.3% chance of a draw, and Bohemians a 49.9% chance of winning away. A second independent model also leans towards the away side. This makes Bohemians the most probable result and therefore the strongest accumulator leg on the card.

However, the price on offer does not carry a value edge. The market has Bohemians at 1.95, whilst the model's fair odds are 2.00, resulting in a 1* value star. This means the price is fair or shorter than the model's fair odds, so there is no value in it on its own. This is a high-likelihood pick with no value edge, and both numbers are correct. The game projects as open, with a 64% chance of both teams scoring and a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals. Bohemians' sG (signal goals) of 2.17 compared to Dundalk's 1.63 also supports the away win. BetSignals surfaces the numbers and the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both squads is shots per 90 minutes, with Bohemians' top player at 4.615 and Dundalk's at 2.527. The second most striking is shots on target per 90, with Bohemians' top player at 1.849 and Dundalk's at 1.166. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data to analyse.