UEFA Champions League | Tuesday, 18 August 2026 | 19:00 GMT

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Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb's home record over their last 10 games shows 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 10. Their individual home results are: 5-0 vs Kauno Žalgiris, 1-3 vs Genk, 4-1 vs FCSB, 1-3 vs Real Betis, and 0-3 vs Celta Vigo. Overall, in their last 10 games (home and away), they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 19.

Viking

Viking's away record over their last 10 games shows 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 6. Their individual away results are: 1-2 vs Rosenborg, 3-0 vs Start, 1-1 vs Aalesund, 2-1 vs Lillestrom, 0-1 vs Sarpsborg 08 FF, 2-1 vs Kristiansund BK, and 2-0 vs KFUM Oslo. Overall, in their last 10 games (home and away), they have 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 21 goals and conceding 11.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 52% likelihood of winning this match, making them the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees a 21.6% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Viking win. A second independent model also favours the home side, reinforcing the direction. Dinamo Zagreb's higher probability is driven by their attacking threat and home advantage. Their sG (signal goals) stands at 1.98 compared to Viking's 1.32, indicating a stronger offensive capability.

However, the price on Dinamo Zagreb at 1.70 offers no value edge. The model's fair odds for a home win are 1.91, giving a one-star rating. This means the market price is fair or shorter than what the model calculates, so there is no value in backing Dinamo Zagreb on its own. Despite being the most likely outcome, it is not a value play. The game is projected to be open, with a 56% chance of both teams scoring and a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, but these probabilities do not alter the value assessment. BetSignals surfaces these numbers for you to decide how to use them in your selections.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both teams is fouls drawn per 90 minutes, with Viking's top player at 2.561 and Dinamo Zagreb's at 2.113. The second most notable category is shots per 90 minutes, where Viking leads with a top player at 2.204 compared to Dinamo Zagreb's 2.181. For the full player-level breakdown and more detailed stats, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.