Ligue 2 | Monday, 31 August 2026 | 18:45 GMT
Recent Form
Dijon
Dijon's recent home form shows a 0-0-1 win-draw-loss record, scoring 0 goals and conceding 1. Their last home game was a 0-1 loss to PAU on 2026-08-14. Overall, they have a 0-2-1 record in their last 10 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 3.
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne's away form shows a 1-0-3 win-draw-loss record, scoring 5 goals and conceding 8. Their most recent away game was a 3-0 win against Sochaux on 2026-08-08. Overall, they have a 4-2-4 record in their last 10 games, scoring 17 goals and conceding 12.
What the Numbers Say
Today's standout accumulator leg comes from the fixture between Dijon and Saint Etienne. The primary model rates an away win as the most probable outcome at 71%. This strong likelihood is driven by the model's win probabilities: 11% for a home win, 18% for a draw, and 71% for an away win. A second independent model also agrees on the direction, reinforcing this as the most likely result.
But it's not just about likelihood; there's real value here too. The market price for an away win is 1.80, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.40. That's a value edge of +28.3%, earning this selection a five-star rating. Saint Etienne's attacking threat is clear with an sG (signal goals) of 2.25 compared to Dijon's 0.71. The game is projected to be open, with a 53% probability for both teams to score and a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals. These numbers make Saint Etienne not just the likely winner, but also a value pick at the current price.
Player Intelligence
The most striking player metric across both squads is shots per 90 minutes. Saint Etienne leads here with a top player at 3.103 shots per 90, compared to Dijon's top player at 4.252. The second most notable category is fouls drawn per 90, where Dijon's top player sits at 4.961 compared to Saint Etienne's 3.316. For the full player-level breakdown, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.