Dijon: Ligue 2 2026/27 Model Projection

Where the model has them

The model projects Dijon to finish around 7th place in Ligue 2 this season. The probabilities show a 4.49% chance of clinching the title, a 24.83% chance of securing a top-four finish, and a 5.48% risk of relegation. This projection is driven by their attack strength multiplier of 1.05 and a defence multiplier of 0.95. The attack multiplier of 1.05 means they're slightly above the league average in attack, whilst the defence multiplier of 0.95 indicates they're a touch below average defensively. Their Elo ratings are both zero, reflecting their newly promoted status and the model's reliance on cross-league data for their projected strength.

In attack

Dijon's attack is projected to be slightly stronger than the league average, with an attack strength multiplier of 1.05. However, the data doesn't show any standout players from last season in terms of goals, assists, or shot volume. There are no top scorers in the squad according to the numbers we have, and no player stood out in shot volume. This suggests that their attacking prowess, whilst above average, lacks a clear focal point. Without a proven high-volume scorer, their ability to consistently find the net could be a concern.

In defence

On the defensive side, Dijon's multiplier of 0.95 indicates they're a bit below average. There are no defensive-actions leaders in the data, with no standout players in tackles, interceptions, or blocks per 90 minutes. This lack of defensive standouts might leave them vulnerable at the back, especially against stronger attacking sides. Their defensive solidity will likely be a key factor in whether they can climb higher in the table or if they'll be battling to stay clear of the drop zone.

What the window changed

The transfer window didn't materially alter Dijon's model projections. The attack multiplier stayed at 1.05 and the defence at 0.95. There were no significant incomings or outgoings that shifted their attacking or defensive capabilities. This stability means their projected performance is largely based on last season's data and their newly promoted status.

Weaknesses and risks

The main risks to Dijon's projection revolve around their lack of proven performers, especially in attack. With no high-volume scorer from last season and a defence that's slightly below average, they face an uphill battle to consistently pick up points. Their newly promoted status means much of the squad is unproven at this level, adding another layer of uncertainty. If they can't find the net regularly or shore up their defence, they might find themselves battling at the wrong end of the table rather than challenging for the top spots.

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Key players (last season)

Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)

Transfer impact (model)

_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._