Allsvenskan | Monday, 19 October 2026 | 17:00 GMT
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Degerfors IF
In their last four home games, Degerfors IF have recorded two wins and two losses, scoring five goals and conceding two. The individual results were: a 0-1 loss to Hammarby FF, a 2-0 win against Halmstad, a 3-0 win over IFK Goteborg, and a 0-1 loss to Djurgardens IF. Overall, in their last ten matches (home and away), they have three wins, one draw, and six losses, scoring eight goals and conceding 12.
Kalmar FF
In their last six away games, Kalmar FF have lost four and drawn two, scoring three goals and conceding seven. The individual results were: a 0-1 loss to Malmo FF, a 0-1 loss to IF Elfsborg, a 0-1 loss to Halmstad, a 0-0 draw with Vasteras SK FK, a 2-3 loss to IFK Goteborg, and a 1-1 draw with BK Hacken. Overall, in their last ten matches (home and away), they have one win, two draws, and seven losses, scoring five goals and conceding 18.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model gives Degerfors IF a 51% chance of winning this match, making them the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees a 27.1% chance of a draw and a 21.8% chance of a Kalmar FF win. A second independent model also leans towards a home win, confirming the direction. This makes Degerfors IF the most probable outcome and therefore the strongest leg for any accumulator today.
As for the price, the market has Degerfors IF at 2.90, whilst the model's fair odds sit at 1.96. That's a two-star value rating, with the market price offering a +48.1% edge over the model's fair odds. The sG (signal goals) for Degerfors IF is 1.43, compared to 0.82 for Kalmar FF, indicating a higher attacking threat from the home side. The probability of both teams scoring is 38%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 36%, suggesting a relatively open game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers for you to analyse and decide. The decision, as always, is yours.
Player Intelligence
The most striking player category in this game is fouls drawn, with Degerfors IF having six players above the threshold and a top rate of 2.864 per 90 minutes, compared to Kalmar FF's eight players and a top rate of 4.696 per 90 minutes. The second most striking category is tackles, where Degerfors IF has five players above the threshold and a top rate of 3.931 per 90 minutes, whilst Kalmar FF has five players and a top rate of 2.854 per 90 minutes. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and analyse the data for yourself.