Serie A | Monday, 14 September 2026 | 16:30 GMT
Recent Form
Como
Como's home form shows a win against RB Leipzig 4-1, a win against Parma 1-0, and a draw against Napoli 0-0. Their home record over the last 10 games is 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Overall in the last 10 games, they have 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 20 goals and conceding 7.
Parma
Parma's away form includes a loss to Juventus 0-2, a loss to Como 0-1, a loss to Inter 0-2, and a win against Udinese 1-0. Their away record over the last 10 games is 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1 goal scored and 5 conceded. Overall in the last 10 games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 11.
What the Numbers Say
The primary model rates Como's chances at 71% for a home win, with a 18% chance of a draw and 11% for a Parma win. This makes Como the standout acca leg today. A second independent model also sees the home side as the likely winner. Como's sG (signal goals) stands at 2.2, compared to Parma's 0.71, reflecting Como's stronger attacking threat and Parma's defensive struggles.
As for value, the market price for a Como win is 1.22, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.42. This results in a one-star rating, meaning there is no value edge in backing Como at the current price. The market has priced this fairly short of the model's fair odds, leaving no room for value. The BTTS probability is 46%, and the over 2.5 goals probability is 54%, suggesting an open game. Como's high shot volume and low shots against on target (2.75) support the model's lean towards a home win. Remember, BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is always yours.
Player Intelligence
The most striking category across both teams is fouls drawn, with Como's top player at 2.25 per 90 and Parma's at 3.128 per 90. The second most striking is shots on target, with Como's top player at 1.533 per 90 and Parma's at 1.067 per 90. For the full player-level breakdown, log in or create a free account on BetSignals.