Segunda División | Sunday, 4 October 2026 | 16:30 GMT

Recent Form

Castellón

Castellón's home form shows a W/D/L record of 3-2-0 across their last five home games. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 2 at home. The scorelines were: 5-0 vs Tenerife, 2-0 vs Albacete, 0-0 vs Sabadell, 1-1 vs Almeria, and 2-1 vs Eibar. Overall, their last 10 games show a W/D/L record of 7-2-1 with 19 goals scored and 7 conceded.

AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC's away form shows a W/D/L record of 1-0-3 across their last four away games. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 11 away from home. The scorelines were: 1-3 vs Burgos, 0-3 vs Mallorca, 1-5 vs FC Andorra, and 2-0 vs FC Andorra. Overall, their last 10 games show a W/D/L record of 3-1-6 with 10 goals scored and 21 conceded.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives Castellón a 67% likelihood of winning this match, making them the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees the probabilities as 67% home win, 19% draw, and 13% away win. A second independent model agrees on the home win direction. This makes Castellón the most probable result based on the data.

However, the market price of 1.25 for Castellón is shorter than the model's fair odds of 1.49, resulting in a 1* value rating. There is no value edge here, meaning the price is fair or shorter than the model's fair odds. The sG (signal goals) for Castellón is 2.13, compared to 0.79 for AD Ceuta FC, indicating a higher attacking threat from the home side. The BTTS probability is 51% and the Over 2.5 goals probability is 55%, suggesting the game could be open. BetSignals surfaces these numbers for you to make your own decision.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player category is tackles, with AD Ceuta FC's top tackler at 7 per 90 minutes compared to Castellón's top tackler at 2.941 per 90. The second most striking category is fouls drawn, where both teams have players above the threshold, but Castellón's top player draws 3 fouls per 90 compared to AD Ceuta FC's top player at 4 per 90. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data to analyse.