Championship | Monday, 17 August 2026 | 19:00 GMT

Recent Form

Cardiff

At home, Cardiff's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games. They scored eight goals and conceded three. Their last home game was a 5-1 win over Northampton. Over their last ten games, they have five wins, three draws, and two losses, scoring 21 goals and conceding 11.

Wrexham

Away, Wrexham's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six games. They scored seven goals and conceded 11. Their last away game was a 1-3 loss to Coventry. Over their last ten games, they have four wins, two draws, and four losses, scoring 14 goals and conceding 18.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates Cardiff's home win at 56%, making it the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees Cardiff as the most probable result, with a 56.4% chance of a home win, a 20.6% chance of a draw, and a 22.8% chance of an away win. A second independent model agrees on the direction, reinforcing this as the most likely outcome.

The market price for a Cardiff win is 2.35, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.77. This gives a two-star HOME value rating, meaning the price is longer than the model's fair odds by 32.5%. Cardiff's sG (signal goals) for this match is 2.12, compared to Wrexham's 1.26, showing Cardiff's higher attacking threat. The BTTS probability is 62%, and the Over 2.5 goals probability is 65%, indicating an open game. Cardiff's home form, with an average of 6.5 shots on target per game, contrasts with Wrexham's away form, where they average 3.375 shots on target per game. BetSignals surfaces these numbers, and the decision on how to use them is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both teams is tackles, with Wrexham having a higher topPer90 value of 3.0 compared to Cardiff's 2.571. The second most striking category is shots, where Cardiff has a higher topPer90 value of 3.186 compared to Wrexham's 2.424. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more detailed analysis.