Bundesliga | Saturday, 19 September 2026 | 13:30 GMT

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Borussia Mönchengladbach

At home, Borussia Mönchengladbach has played five games, winning two, drawing two, and losing one. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 7. The last five home games ended 3-4 (L), 4-0 (W), 1-0 (W), 1-1 (D), and 2-2 (D). Overall, in their last 10 games (home and away), they've won two, drawn three, and lost five, scoring 12 goals and conceding 19.

FSV Mainz 05

Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 has played five games, winning three, drawing one, and losing one. They've scored 10 goals and conceded 6. The last five away games ended 5-0 (W), 2-0 (W), 2-1 (W), 1-1 (D), and 0-4 (L). Overall, in their last 10 games (home and away), they've won three, drawn two, and lost five, scoring 15 goals and conceding 17.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 70% chance of winning this match. It sees the probabilities at home 13.3%, draw 15.3%, and away 70.2%. This makes FSV Mainz 05 the standout accumulator leg. A second independent model agrees on the direction. This is about how LIKELY the result is, not about the price.

Now, let's talk about the price and the star. The market price for FSV Mainz 05 is 2.25, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.42. That's a 5* value star, meaning there's a 58% value edge. This fixture is both a likely result and a value selection. The sG (signal goals) for FSV Mainz 05 is 2.82, compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 1.14. The probability of both teams scoring is 62%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is 63%, showing an open game. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both teams is shots. FSV Mainz 05 has a player with 2.964 shots per 90 minutes, whilst Borussia Mönchengladbach's top player is at 2.124. The second most striking category is shots on target, with FSV Mainz 05's top player at 1.716 and Borussia Mönchengladbach's at 1.327. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data to analyse.