UEFA Champions League | Tuesday, 25 August 2026 | 19:00 GMT
Recent Form
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt has played four home games in their last ten, winning all four without conceding a goal. They scored 11 goals and had 74 shots and 30 shots on target across those games. Their last ten games overall (home and away) show eight wins, one draw, and one loss, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen has played four away games in their last ten, with one win, two draws, and one loss. They scored six goals and had 66 shots and 23 shots on target in those games. Their last ten games overall show three wins, four draws, and three losses, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded.
What the Numbers Say
The model rates a Bodo/Glimt home win at 50% likelihood, making it the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees the probabilities as 50% for a home win, 21% for a draw, and 29% for an away win. A second independent model also favours the home side. This is why Bodo/Glimt is the primary selection.
However, the price on offer does not carry value. The market odds for a home win are 1.45, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.99. This gives a one-star value rating, meaning the market price is fair or too short. So, whilst the home win is the most probable outcome, there is no value edge in backing it at the current price. The model projects 2.03 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.47 for NEC Nijmegen, with a 60% chance of both teams scoring and a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.
Player Intelligence
The most striking player category across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. NEC Nijmegen has a player with a top rate of 5.122 shots per 90, whilst Bodo/Glimt's top rate is 3.038. The second most striking category is shots on target per 90, with NEC Nijmegen leading at 3.659 and Bodo/Glimt at 2.278. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals for more data-led insights.