Eliteserien | Friday, 31 July 2026 | 19:00 GMT

Recent Form

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt's home record in their last 10 games is six wins, zero draws, and one loss, scoring 17 goals and conceding 2. Their recent home scorelines are: 3-0 vs Ham-Kam, 1-0 vs Fredrikstad, 3-1 vs Brann, 5-0 vs Tromso, 0-1 vs Molde, and 5-0 vs Start. Across all venues in their last 10 games, they have eight wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring 28 goals and conceding 5.

Lillestrom

Lillestrom's away record in their last 10 games is two wins, zero draws, and two losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4. Their recent away scorelines are: 2-0 vs Fredrikstad, 0-2 vs Ham-Kam, 0-2 vs Rosenborg, and 2-0 vs Valerenga. Across all venues in their last 10 games, they have five wins, zero draws, and five losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 12.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates a Bodo/Glimt home win as the most probable outcome at 62%. This makes it the standout accumulator leg for today. The model sees the chances of a home win at 62%, a draw at 20%, and an away win at 18%. A second independent model agrees on the direction, backing Bodo/Glimt at home.

However, when it comes to the price, there is no value edge. The market price for a Bodo/Glimt win is 1.25, whilst the model's fair odds are 1.61. This results in a one-star value rating, meaning the market has priced this selection fairly or shorter than the model's fair odds. There is a -22.4% value gap, showing the price is below the model's fair value. The expected goals for Bodo/Glimt are 2.17 compared to Lillestrom's 1.04, reinforcing the likelihood of a home win. The probability of both teams scoring is 54%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is 59%, suggesting an open game. Remember, BetSignals surfaces the numbers, and the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player metric across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. Bodo/Glimt has eight players averaging over 1.5 shots per 90, with their top performer at 3.472. Lillestrom has only one player above this threshold, with a top rate of 1.636. The second most notable category is shots on target per 90. Bodo/Glimt has six players averaging over 1.0 shots on target per 90, with their top performer at 2.136. Lillestrom has two players above this threshold, with their top rate at 1.12. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals.