Bayern München vs Union Berlin - Bundesliga Preview

Bundesliga | Saturday, 21 March 2026 | 14:30 GMT

Recent Form

Bayern München

Bayern München's most recent home results are: 4-1 win against Atalanta, 4-1 win against Borussia Mönchengladbach, 3-2 win against Eintracht Frankfurt, and 5-1 win against 1899 Hoffenheim. They have won all four home games, scoring 16 goals and conceding 5. Overall in their last ten games, Bayern München has won eight, drawn two, and lost none, scoring 33 goals while conceding 12.

Union Berlin

Union Berlin's most recent away results are: 1-0 win against SC Freiburg, 0-1 loss against Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2-3 loss against Hamburger SV, 1-3 loss against 1899 Hoffenheim, and 1-1 draw against VfB Stuttgart. Their away record in the last six games is 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last ten games, Union Berlin has won two, drawn three, and lost five, scoring 9 goals and conceding 17.

Why BetSignals Rates This Game

The primary model gives the following probabilities: 66.9% chance for a Bayern München win, 18% chance for a draw, and 14.5% chance for a Union Berlin win. A second model independently points towards the same outcome, confirming the reliability of the prediction. This cross-model agreement earns the game a 3* rating.

Analyzing the expected goals, Bayern München has an sG of 2.36, compared to Union Berlin's 0.94, suggesting a stronger attacking threat from the home side. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 61%, while the probability of over 2.5 total goals is 67%. This indicates an open game with a good chance of multiple goals. Bayern München's higher shot volume and goals per game, combined with Union Berlin's higher goals conceded, align with the model's lean towards a home win.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category for both teams is shots on target, with Bayern München leading in per-90 shots on target (3.931) compared to Union Berlin (1.782). Union Berlin has a higher number of players drawing fouls, with 3 players drawing over 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes (top at 2.929 per 90). Log in or create a free account at BetSignals to see the full player-level breakdown for this game.