Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Prediction – 13 September 2026

Super League 1 | Sunday, 13 September 2026 | 16:00 GMT

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis' home form shows a W/D/L record of 3-1-2 across their last 10 home games. They've scored 7 goals and conceded 6. Their recent home results are: L 0-2 vs Iraklis 1908, L 0-1 vs Olympiakos Piraeus, D 0-0 vs Kifisia, W 1-0 vs Panserraikos, W 4-2 vs Atromitos, W 2-1 vs Panetolikos. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), Asteras have a W/D/L record of 4-2-4, scoring 12 goals and conceding 13.

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC's away form shows a W/D/L record of 0-4-0 across their last 10 away games. They've scored 2 goals and conceded 2. Their recent away results are: D 1-1 vs Kifisia, D 0-0 vs Levski Sofia, D 1-1 vs PAOK, D 0-0 vs Panathinaikos. Overall in their last 10 games (home and away), AEK have a W/D/L record of 5-5-0, scoring 19 goals and conceding 4.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates AEK Athens FC's away win at 75%, making it the standout accumulator leg today. The model sees a 7% chance of a home win, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 75% chance of an away win. A second independent model also agrees on the direction. This is why AEK Athens FC stands out as the most likely result.

But it's not just about likelihood. The price on AEK Athens FC at 1.38 also carries real value. The model's fair odds for the away side are 1.33, an edge of +4%. That's where the five-star value rating comes from. The sG (signal goals) for AEK Athens FC is 2.2, compared to 0.5 for Asteras Tripolis, highlighting the attacking threat. The game is projected to be open, with a 47% chance of both teams scoring and a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking player category across both teams is shots per 90 minutes. AEK Athens FC has a player averaging 3.429 shots per 90, whilst Asteras Tripolis has a player at 2.857. The second most striking category is fouls drawn per 90, with AEK Athens FC's top player at 6.0 and Asteras Tripolis' at 2.647. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and get more data for your own analysis.