AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction – 27 October 2026

Serie A | Tuesday, 27 October 2026 | 19:45 GMT

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AS Roma

At home, AS Roma's last five games show a W/D/L record of 3/1/1, scoring 13 goals and conceding 7. The results were: W 4-0, W 2-0, L 3-4, D 2-2, W 2-1. Across their last 10 games, overall, they have a W/D/L record of 5/4/1, scoring 23 goals and conceding 11.

Cagliari

On the road, Cagliari's last five away games show a W/D/L record of 4/0/1, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6. The results were: L 0-4, W 1-0, W 2-1, W 1-0, W 2-1. Across their last 10 games, overall, they have a W/D/L record of 6/1/3, scoring 10 goals and conceding 11.

What the Numbers Say

The primary model rates AS Roma at home as the most probable outcome at 56%. The model sees a 55.5% chance of a home win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 21.4% chance of an away win. A second independent model agrees on the home direction. This makes AS Roma the standout accumulator leg today.

However, the price of 1.36 for AS Roma is not a value play. The model's fair odds are 1.80, giving a value percentage of -24.6%. This is a one-star selection, meaning there is no value edge. The market price is fair or shorter than the model's fair odds. This is a high-likelihood pick with no value. The sG (signal goals) for AS Roma is 1.8 and for Cagliari is 1.01, indicating a higher attacking threat from the home side. The BTTS (both teams to score) probability is 51% and the Over 2.5 goals probability is 54%, suggesting an open game. BetSignals surfaces the numbers; the decision is yours.

Player Intelligence

The most striking category across both teams is fouls drawn per 90 minutes. AS Roma has a player with 5.567 fouls drawn per 90, whilst Cagliari's top player in this metric draws 2.361 fouls per 90. The second most striking category is shots per 90 minutes, with AS Roma's top player at 4.839 and Cagliari's at 2.486. Log in or create a free account to see the full player-level breakdown on BetSignals and access more data for your own analysis.