Where the model has them
The model projects Annecy to finish around 4th in Ligue 2 this season. The probabilities show a 6.78% chance of winning the title, a 31.93% chance of securing a top-four spot, and a 3.76% risk of relegation. These projections are driven by Annecy's attack and defence strength, reflected in their multipliers and Elo ratings. With an attack strength multiplier of 1.13 and a defence multiplier of 0.97, Annecy is slightly above average in attack and just below average in defence. Their attacking Elo of 1501 and defensive Elo of 1547 support this balanced outlook.
In attack
Annecy's attack, rated at a strength multiplier of 1.13, is slightly above the league average. Key to this is Thibault Rambaud, who scored 7 goals last season, accounting for 26% of the team's total. Antoine Larose, with 7 goals and 4 assists, is the top scorer in the squad. Clement Billemaz stands out with 7 assists and 30 shots, contributing to 65% of the team's shot volume. Despite these contributors, Annecy lacks a proven high-volume scorer, which tempers the attack's potential.
In defence
Defensively, Annecy holds a multiplier of 0.97, indicating a slightly below-average defence. The defensive-actions leaders include Alexis Casadei with 4.8 actions per 90 minutes, Julien Kouadio with 3.25, and Clement Billemaz with 3.16. Billemaz also leads in tackles won with 58 across 31 appearances. This defensive setup, whilst not outstanding, provides a solid backbone to the team's performance.
What the window changed
The transfer window saw minor tweaks to Annecy's attack and defence. The attack multiplier improved from 1.09 to 1.13 following the arrival of Zepiqueno Redmond, who scored 1 goal last season. The departure of Josué Tiendrebeogo, who scored 3 goals, was offset by this addition. Defensively, the arrival of Kadan Young, contributing 4 defensive actions, nudged the defence multiplier from 0.94 to 0.97. The loss of Triston Rowe slightly weakened the backline, but the net effect is a marginal strengthening overall.
Weaknesses and risks
The main risk to Annecy's projection lies in their lack of a proven high-volume scorer. Relying on a few key players for goals and creativity leaves the attack vulnerable if these players underperform or get injured. This dependency, coupled with a defence that is just below average, means Annecy's season could hinge on the consistency of their top performers and the ability of the defence to limit damage.
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Key players (last season)
| Category | Player | Total | Per game | 1+ rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Thibault Rambaud | 7 | 0.26 | 26% |
| Assists | Clement Billemaz | 7 | 0.23 | 23% |
| Shots | Clement Billemaz | 30 | 0.97 | 65% |
| Tackles won | Clement Billemaz | 58 | 1.87 | 81% |
| Fouls drawn | Ben Hamed Toure | 29 | 1.53 | 79% |
| Fouls committed | Ben Hamed Toure | 54 | 2.84 | 84% |
Defensive-actions leaders (per 90)
| Player | Tackles+Int+Blocks /90 | Apps |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Casadei | 4.8 | 19 |
| Julien Kouadio | 3.25 | 30 |
| Clement Billemaz | 3.16 | 31 |
Transfer impact (model)
- Attack: in Zepiqueno Redmond (1g), out Josué Tiendrebeogo (3g)
- Defence: in Kadan Young (4 def actions), out Triston Rowe
_Model profile generated from the BetSignals season simulation. Player figures are last season's totals._